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Strange
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2013
Posts: 106

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Christchurch Finalist Prediction Thread

The forums are dead, Long live the forums.

No doubt this gets cross posted to the facebook group and we can take it from there.

I’ll post my selection as a comment below, anyone else who has seen all or most of the films are welcome to do the same 😊

2018- The Marquis de Sade The Monster Movie
2017 - Pandora's Night The Alien Film & Behind The Scenes The At Night Movie
2016 - Every Romance Trailer Ever Rom-Com
2015 - The Intervention Shock Ending
2014 - Steak and Cheese Lies Puzzle/Mystery Film
2013 - Prey: A Tale From The Future Robot/Cyborg/Android Film
2012 - True. Inspirational Film
2011 - The Kids Next Door Revenge Film
2010 - Take 4 Ghost Film
Reply

Strange
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2013
Posts: 106

Who’s gonna have a great night eh?

Gonna have a great night.
Bork - Night Shift

Might have a pretty good night
Crab Crab Crab - Cheernobyl: A Holiday Meltdown
Dragon V Mouse - That Time of the Month
Dystography Studios - Cold Hearted
JAGBOG - Cut

Probably gonna be there on the night
Little old Lady Productions -Decompression
No Budget Ninjas - Lifeboy
1:1 Creative - Dick and Jane
Deep Dish Pizza Wolf - Rozkol (Schism)
TBALC - D.O.C Force: Death Island
Submission Impossible - Now You See Me, Now You Don’t
Team Moon - Inflamed
Toot Toot - Stopping World War II


Wildcard: Should/Might Still/I’d like it if they were invited to the night.
Breens B-Roll - Timeslingers
Everything Sticks - END
Cereal Killers - No Bromo
Foreign Objects - Promotion Road
Maximum of 30 characters - Cabin Fever
Olax - Sampson
PlanetFoxFilms - Free as the wind
Rip Focus - a nipple in time
South Jersey Ghost Research - Catman and Robyn
Team Fireworks - Invoke


But honestly, as has been shown time and time again at this point, what the fuck do I know? Film is subjective. Happy 48hours everybody. Hopefully they announce the dates more than 2 months in advance next year.

2018- The Marquis de Sade The Monster Movie
2017 - Pandora's Night The Alien Film & Behind The Scenes The At Night Movie
2016 - Every Romance Trailer Ever Rom-Com
2015 - The Intervention Shock Ending
2014 - Steak and Cheese Lies Puzzle/Mystery Film
2013 - Prey: A Tale From The Future Robot/Cyborg/Android Film
2012 - True. Inspirational Film
2011 - The Kids Next Door Revenge Film
2010 - Take 4 Ghost Film
Reply

Joel_Tempero
From: Christchurch
Since: May 2018
Posts: 15

Ayye great you kicked it off I didn't want to go first :P

Expect to see you walking down the stairs a couple of times
Bork
Team Moon
Dragon V Mouse

Lock em in and have a great time fellas
JAGBOG
South Jersey Ghost Research
Strang Entertainment
Submission Impossible
Toot Toot

Rounding out the night's entertainment
Cereal Killers
CRAB CRAB CRAB
Dystography Studios
Little Old Lady Productions
No Budget Ninjas
Deep Dish Pizza Wolf
Olax

Wildcards, I mean like Strang said who the hell knows at this point
The Brothers Boyce
Snack to the Future
Everything Sticks
Lost Boys Media
Maximum of 30 characters
TBALC
Oxford Comma
Pie Face


Going to the heats is my favorite thing ever, thank you ChCh for your mountain-loads of talent, you've all made my year.

rip focus - Team Leader
2019 - "a nipple in time" (Time-Travel)
2018 - "A Slice of You" (Anti-Rom Com)
2017 - "A Ripple in Time" (Sci-Fi)

Bus Stop Studios (School Team) - Team Leader
2016- "Knitting, Crochet & Embroidery" (Puppet)
2015- "Harper's Curiosity" (Mystery)
Reply

Mista Teas
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 528

Hardest prediction list I've made. Right at the top is easy. The rest could go any which way. Included some school teams 'cos why not?

Gonna Win It
BORK “Night Shift” – Musical (ULTRA)

Right Up There Chasing Hard
Dragon V Mouse - "That Time of The Month" – Time Travel
JAGBOG – “Cut” – Nature Run Amuck (ULTRA)
Snack To The Future – “A Familiar Feeling” – Gross/Cringe
Strang Entertainment – “Timmy” – Coming of Age

Doing good as Finalists
Cereal Killers – “No Bromo” – Gross Out or Cringe Comedy
CRAB CRAB CRAB - "Cheernoybl: A Holiday Meltdown" - Holiday
Little Old Lady Productions “Decompression” – Opposite Attracts
No Budget Ninjas “Lifeboy” – Time Travel
OLAX – “Samson” – Real Time
South Jersey Ghost Research – “Catman & Robyn” – Secret Identity
Submission Impossible – “Now You See Me, Now You Don’t” – Buddy
Team Moon – “Inflamed” – Opposite Attracts
The Brothers Boyce – “All Hallows Eve” - Holiday
Toot Toot – “Stopping WWII” – Time Travel

Holding out hope for a phone call
Deep Dish Pizza Wolf – “Rozkol (Schism)” – Science Fiction (ULTRA)
Dystography Studios - "Cold Hearted" - Nature Run Amok (ULTRA)
Everything Sticks - "END" – Real Time
Foreign Objects - "Promotion Road" - Gross/Cringe
Geese – “The Lady in The Lift” – Secret Identity
Maximum of 30 characters - "Cabin Fever" - Holiday
Planet Fox Films – “Free As The Wind” – Coming-of-Age
Salty Chips – “Atomic Clock” – Real Time
TBALC – “DOC: Danger Island” – Nature Run Amok
Wrinkly Dog – “The 5th Ship” – Wrong place; Wrong Time

SCREENING NOW: End - Real Time; CHCH25s
REVISIT: The Stile - Star-crossed Lovers; ULTRA48; CHCH25s

Everything Sticks since 2008
48Hr Films 2008-2019 48Sec Films 2008-2016

Mista Teas (Stu Gilpin) NATIONAL WINNER "Best/Most Prolific Reviewer" 2011 REVIEWS ARCHIVE
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dramamike
From: Wellington
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 1350

Love the categories

2019 Depart'ners Buddy
2018 Thanks to the Academy Heist Ultra
2017 Forelsket Nutbar Films Buddy Sacrifice
2016 Con Troll Alt Delete Nutbar Films Horror Fan Favourite. City Finalist for Make-Up
2015 Hide and Seek Nutbar Films Mystery
2014 Confessions Nutbar, with a taste of Nimlin Film, within a film
2013 Made Maid Nutbar Films City Finalist for POV Shot Robot/Cyborg/Android
2012 I Still Dream in Colour Nutbar Films Action
2011 Raptured Golden Carrot Films Mystery
2010 Fraternal Fabrication Golden Carrot Films Twin
2009 I love you this much Golden Carrot Films Romance
2008 Luke Walker and the Golden Carrot William Shatner's Pants Animal
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Bock_Simon
From: Christchurch
Since: Sep 2017
Posts: 8

Great way to describe the lists guys haha! Love it.

JAGBOG
Just a Good Bunch of Guys

2018 - Eric & Leo
2017 - Night Guards - A Rising Tide Chronicle
2016 - (As 'Residual Talent') Sole Mates
2015 - Early To Rise
2014 - Rising Tide
2013 - 158
2012 - She'll Be Right 2 - Nah She Bloody Won't
2011 - She'll Be Right
Reply

Strange
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2013
Posts: 106

Shiiiiiiiit, In my rush to put the list together, I blew right past

Might have a pretty good night.
Snack To The Future - A Familiar Feeling

(Familiar team more like....)

2018- The Marquis de Sade The Monster Movie
2017 - Pandora's Night The Alien Film & Behind The Scenes The At Night Movie
2016 - Every Romance Trailer Ever Rom-Com
2015 - The Intervention Shock Ending
2014 - Steak and Cheese Lies Puzzle/Mystery Film
2013 - Prey: A Tale From The Future Robot/Cyborg/Android Film
2012 - True. Inspirational Film
2011 - The Kids Next Door Revenge Film
2010 - Take 4 Ghost Film
Reply

Mista Teas
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 528

in reply to Strange:

(Familiar team more like....)

Indeed.

SCREENING NOW: End - Real Time; CHCH25s
REVISIT: The Stile - Star-crossed Lovers; ULTRA48; CHCH25s

Everything Sticks since 2008
48Hr Films 2008-2019 48Sec Films 2008-2016

Mista Teas (Stu Gilpin) NATIONAL WINNER "Best/Most Prolific Reviewer" 2011 REVIEWS ARCHIVE
Reply

Rastinha
Since: Mar 2014
Posts: 92

I'm not from Chch nor have I seen any of the films, but just from screenshots on the FB page I'm happy to put my wager on:

In it to win it
Bork! - Night Shift

2019: "DopeMonkey Live" - Gross-out Comedy - Pastafarian Productions (Solo/ULTRA)
2018: "Heist School Musical" - Heist Movie - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Best Door Slam)
2017: "ESP" - Alien Movie - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Finalist)
2016: "The War on Error" - Cat & Mouse - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Finalist)
2015: "Us... But Mainly You" - Black Comedy - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Finalist)
2014: "Sphere" - Horror - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Finalist)
2009-2013: MIA
2008: "I Adore" - Drama - Conspiracion de las Palomitas
2007: "The Hazel Princess" - Fairytale - Conspiracion de las Palomitas
2006: "All Ur <3 R Belong 2 Me" - Romance - Popcorn Conspiracy
Reply

TheNimbleMarmoset
From: Christchurch
Since: May 2012
Posts: 197

... And here's my list.

Probably gonna make the finals
Bork - Night Shift
Deep Dish Pizza Wolf - Rozkol (Schism)
Dragon V Mouse - That Time of the Month
Dystography Studios - Cold Hearted
JAGBOG - Cut
Little Old Lady Productions - Decompression
No Budget Ninjas - Lifeboy
Snack to the Future - A Familiar Feeling
South Jersey Ghost Research - Catman and Robyn
Strang Entertainment - Timmy
Submission Impossible - Now You See Me, Now You Don't
TBALC - D.O.C Force: Danger Island
Team Moon - Inflamed
The Brothers Boyce - All Hallows' Eve
Toot Toot - Stopping World War II

Furthermore, I predict that one of these 15 films will win Christchurch.


Seriously though, a) congrats to all the finalists, and b) any thoughts about the final 15? It all seems roughly in line with people's predictions, but were there any surprise inclusions or omissions?

Also, is that award really being called "Best Performer", even though half the nominations are for groups of performers? (I would humbly suggest that "Best Performance" is a slightly more effective wording to capture the various options.)

SOUTH JERSEY GHOST RESEARCH
2019 - "Catman and Robyn" (The Secret Identity Movie)
2018 - "Cushy: A Pull Story" (The Film That Spans More Than Ten Years)

TBALC
2017 - "Down 2 The Wire". . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2016 - "Down To The Wire" (Bechdel)
2016 - "Windows" (Mystery). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2011 - "Band Of Bullies" (Quest)
2015 - "The Silent Man" (Mystery). . . . . . . . . . . . . . .2010 - "I Am Single" (Rom Com)
2014 - "The Ex" (Rom Com). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2009 - "New Fish" (Musical)
2013 - "Quarrelsome Heat" (Action/Adventure). . . 2008 - "Übermensch" (Horror)
2012 - "Nicky + Eve 19/5" (One Shot) . . . . . . . . . . .2007 - "Pain-Killer: The Sick Sense" (Superhero)

EVIL GENIUS LABS
2005 - "Bruised Gold" (Documentary)
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Mista Teas
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 528

in reply to TheNimbleMarmoset:

Also, is that award really being called "Best Performer", even though half the nominations are for groups of performers? (I would humbly suggest that "Best Performance" is a slightly more effective wording to capture the various options.)

I'm not really sure what this award is about anymore. Seems it's become unnecessarily cluttered and complicated. So, if a team with multiple nominees wins, everyone wins? I think this has been mentioned before but it theory an animal could win or an inanimate object? At least I suppose there appears to be more nominees this year. In 2018, when this change came in it essentially halved the nominations.

SCREENING NOW: End - Real Time; CHCH25s
REVISIT: The Stile - Star-crossed Lovers; ULTRA48; CHCH25s

Everything Sticks since 2008
48Hr Films 2008-2019 48Sec Films 2008-2016

Mista Teas (Stu Gilpin) NATIONAL WINNER "Best/Most Prolific Reviewer" 2011 REVIEWS ARCHIVE
Reply

Bloydd
From: Christchurch
Since: May 2011
Posts: 142

Breakdown:

(This is including making the finals as a "Best Picture" nomination)

11 Noms: TBALC & SNACK TO THE FUTURE
10 Noms: THE BROTHERS BOYCE
7 Noms: BORK, DEEP DISH PIZZA WOLF, TOOT TOOT
6 Noms: DRAGON V MOUSE, LITTLE OLD LADY PRODUCTIONS
5 Noms: JAGBOG, STRANG ENTERTAINMENT
4 Noms: TEAM MOON
3 Noms: CRAB CRAB CRAB, DYSTOGRAPHY STUDIOS, NO BUDGET NINJAS, SOUTH JERSEY GHOST RESEARCH, SUBMISSION IMPOSSIBLE

JAGBOG & Snack to the Future are the only teams with both a Director & Script nomination, historically these two categories have contained the winner/runner-up. From my findings a couple of years ago, a Script nomination seems to be the one you need to win/place as IIRC only one team has come runner up without one and that was a non-dialogue film.

Edit: Blood & Bone did it last year too, and they did the best Chch has done in almost 10 years so maybe not being nominated for script is what you want!

Richard Martin

DRAGON V MOUSE - Team Leader
2019 - That Time of the Month - Time Travel (NOT ULTRA) - CHCH finalist
2018 - Baby on Board - Fish-Out-of-Water (ULTRA) - CHCH finalist
2017 - Grisly - Horror Comedy (ULTRA) - CHCH finalist + Best use of Character (A Female)
2016 - Trap - Cat & Mouse - CHCH Finalist + Best use of Tech Element
2015 - Repent - Last Person on Earth - CHCH Finalist
2014 - Bearly: A Revenge Movie - Revenge - CHCH Finalist + Best use of Tech Element
2013 - 'Trigger' - Converging Storyline
2012 - 'Elmerdale' - Fantasy Adventure
2011 - Refuge - One Room/Horror (We don't talk about this one)
2010 - 'Everything You Need To Know About Sex (But Were Too Thick To Realise)' - Sex Education - Audience Favourite
2009 - 'Behind Closed Doors' - Real Time

Producer - The 48 Hours Podcast
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Mista Teas
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 528

in reply to TheNimbleMarmoset:

It all seems roughly in line with people's predictions, but were there any surprise inclusions or omissions?

I think that's largely due to Christchurch being predictable! Some of the names might change but the faces remain the same. Only Brothers Boyce are new to the finals (as far as I can tell) and with their links to a Sydney based production company they have the necessary goods.

I think Crab, Crab, Crab are probably unlucky. Olax too.

SCREENING NOW: End - Real Time; CHCH25s
REVISIT: The Stile - Star-crossed Lovers; ULTRA48; CHCH25s

Everything Sticks since 2008
48Hr Films 2008-2019 48Sec Films 2008-2016

Mista Teas (Stu Gilpin) NATIONAL WINNER "Best/Most Prolific Reviewer" 2011 REVIEWS ARCHIVE
Reply

Cardinal
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 182

in reply to Bloydd:

Can't let a year go past without a forum post...

I'm faaaaairly sure New Fish didn't get a best script nomination in Christchurch.

Reply

Andrew Todd
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 670

in reply to Bloydd:

Script nomination seems to be the one you need to win/place as IIRC only one team has come runner up without one and that was a non-dialogue film.

Hero didn't have one; Eh Team's 2011 body-switch movie didn't have one; New Fish didn't have one; Death In The West didn't have one; and yeah, Azanti didn't have one. (Source: I have detailed files (but they only go back to 2009))

Also, only one team has all of the big five - director, script, editing, cinematography, and performance - and that's Eh Team 2.0. Of course, animated films and musicals throw this all out of sorts, so, uh.........

GHOST SHARK 2: URBAN JAWS available for download or stream
Senior Contributor at Birth.Movies.Death

2019 - "Розкол (Schism)" - Science Fiction (Chch 3rd place + Best Cinematography)
2018 - "Утка (Utka)" - Wish (National finalist, Chch winner + Best Script + Best Animation, official selection Kiev International Short Film Festival)
2011-2017 - Christchurch 48HOURS City Manager
2010 - "I Am Single" - Rom-Com (Chch finalist + Best Art Direction)
2009 - "New Fish" - Musical (National runner-up + Best Score, Chch winner)
2008 - "Übermensch" - Horror (Chch finalist)
2007 - "Pain Killer: The Sick Sense" - Superhero (Chch finalist)
ALSO - "As Of Yet Unfinished" (2012, unofficial); "The Contender" (2010, finals intro)
Reply

Bloydd
From: Christchurch
Since: May 2011
Posts: 142

in reply to Andrew Todd:

Alright ya got me, my data only went back to 2012

Richard Martin

DRAGON V MOUSE - Team Leader
2019 - That Time of the Month - Time Travel (NOT ULTRA) - CHCH finalist
2018 - Baby on Board - Fish-Out-of-Water (ULTRA) - CHCH finalist
2017 - Grisly - Horror Comedy (ULTRA) - CHCH finalist + Best use of Character (A Female)
2016 - Trap - Cat & Mouse - CHCH Finalist + Best use of Tech Element
2015 - Repent - Last Person on Earth - CHCH Finalist
2014 - Bearly: A Revenge Movie - Revenge - CHCH Finalist + Best use of Tech Element
2013 - 'Trigger' - Converging Storyline
2012 - 'Elmerdale' - Fantasy Adventure
2011 - Refuge - One Room/Horror (We don't talk about this one)
2010 - 'Everything You Need To Know About Sex (But Were Too Thick To Realise)' - Sex Education - Audience Favourite
2009 - 'Behind Closed Doors' - Real Time

Producer - The 48 Hours Podcast
Reply

Andrew Todd
From: Christchurch
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 670

Also interesting: Best Director has only been a category (in Chch anyway) since 2013. Of the six city winners, three didn't have Best Director nominations (The Ex, Down To The Wire, and Utka), but EVERY runner-up has had one.

GHOST SHARK 2: URBAN JAWS available for download or stream
Senior Contributor at Birth.Movies.Death

2019 - "Розкол (Schism)" - Science Fiction (Chch 3rd place + Best Cinematography)
2018 - "Утка (Utka)" - Wish (National finalist, Chch winner + Best Script + Best Animation, official selection Kiev International Short Film Festival)
2011-2017 - Christchurch 48HOURS City Manager
2010 - "I Am Single" - Rom-Com (Chch finalist + Best Art Direction)
2009 - "New Fish" - Musical (National runner-up + Best Score, Chch winner)
2008 - "Übermensch" - Horror (Chch finalist)
2007 - "Pain Killer: The Sick Sense" - Superhero (Chch finalist)
ALSO - "As Of Yet Unfinished" (2012, unofficial); "The Contender" (2010, finals intro)
Reply

Clayton Hiku
From: Christchurch
Since: May 2012
Posts: 58

in reply to Andrew Todd:

Of the six city winners, three didn't have Best Director nominations (The Ex, Down To The Wire, and Utka), but EVERY runner-up has had one.

I dont know what to make of this but yes it IS VERY interesting.

48 Hours
2019 - Submission Impossible - Now you see me, Now you don't CHCH City Finalist, 3rd Place Audience Favourite Heat 8, Nominated for Best Team Intro, WIFT Outstanding Female Filmmaker (Michal Bush)
2018 - Submission Impossible - PC High - CHCH 2nd RUNNER UP, WINNER of Best Director and Audience Favourite Heat 9, Nominated for Best Editor and Best Script
2017 - Submission Impossible - Polaroid 2 CHCH Finalist, Nominated for Best Actress (Michal Bush)
2016 - Submission Impossible - The Rock and a Hard Place CHCH Finalist, WINNER of Best Team Intro, Nominated for - Best Script,
2015 - Submission Impossible - Home CHCH Finalist, Nominated for; Best Cinematography, Best Score, Best Actress (Anna Whitaker), Best Script. Best Team Intro
2014 - Submission Impossible - One Night at Martinet's CHCH Finalist, Nominated for, Best Use of Character, Best Script, Best Actress, Best Original Song Winner of Canon Competition
2013 - Submission Impossible - Polaroid - CHCH Finalist, WINNER of Audience Favourite Heat 10 and Best use of Character Best Team Intro
2012 - Submission Impossible - Split
2011 - Film Flam - Revenge is a dish best served cold - Composer

V48 Seconds
2011 - Iron Man, Inception, X-men, 2010 - New Moon, 2009 - 300
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Bloydd
From: Christchurch
Since: May 2011
Posts: 142

in reply to Clayton Hiku:

When I had a look through old noms & winners as far back as I could see, I noticed this too and took that Directing noms are better for runners up, but Script noms are better for a win.

Richard Martin

DRAGON V MOUSE - Team Leader
2019 - That Time of the Month - Time Travel (NOT ULTRA) - CHCH finalist
2018 - Baby on Board - Fish-Out-of-Water (ULTRA) - CHCH finalist
2017 - Grisly - Horror Comedy (ULTRA) - CHCH finalist + Best use of Character (A Female)
2016 - Trap - Cat & Mouse - CHCH Finalist + Best use of Tech Element
2015 - Repent - Last Person on Earth - CHCH Finalist
2014 - Bearly: A Revenge Movie - Revenge - CHCH Finalist + Best use of Tech Element
2013 - 'Trigger' - Converging Storyline
2012 - 'Elmerdale' - Fantasy Adventure
2011 - Refuge - One Room/Horror (We don't talk about this one)
2010 - 'Everything You Need To Know About Sex (But Were Too Thick To Realise)' - Sex Education - Audience Favourite
2009 - 'Behind Closed Doors' - Real Time

Producer - The 48 Hours Podcast
Reply

steelpotato
From: wellington
Since: Apr 2011
Posts: 328

You all are reading waaay too much into noms. Moffilaide won Wellington in 2017 and winning best film was the only award they got on the night :)

Reply

Rastinha
Since: Mar 2014
Posts: 92

Ahh I love that you guys are geeking out over data. Might have to do a similar thing if I can find past Taranaki data, but I don't think it'll be as interesting, lol.

2019: "DopeMonkey Live" - Gross-out Comedy - Pastafarian Productions (Solo/ULTRA)
2018: "Heist School Musical" - Heist Movie - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Best Door Slam)
2017: "ESP" - Alien Movie - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Finalist)
2016: "The War on Error" - Cat & Mouse - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Finalist)
2015: "Us... But Mainly You" - Black Comedy - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Finalist)
2014: "Sphere" - Horror - Pastafarian Productions (Regional Finalist)
2009-2013: MIA
2008: "I Adore" - Drama - Conspiracion de las Palomitas
2007: "The Hazel Princess" - Fairytale - Conspiracion de las Palomitas
2006: "All Ur <3 R Belong 2 Me" - Romance - Popcorn Conspiracy
Reply